数字乡村发展对粮食主产区农业生产效率提升的影响机制研究
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北京林业大学经济管理学院

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北京市社会科学基金重大项目(24LLYJA022)


Research on the influencing mechanism of digital rural development on the improvement of agricultural production efficiency in main grain producing areas
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School of Economics and Management, Beijing Forestry University

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Major Project of Beijing Social Science Foundation (24LLYJA022)

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    摘要:

    提升农业生产效率和转变传统农业生产经营模式,是确保粮食主产区稳定生产和供应粮食等重要农产品的关键前提。本研究基于2013-2023年期间来自455个粮食主产区县(市)的面板数据,运用双重差分模型(DID)实证检验数字乡村发展政策对农业生产效率的影响及其作用机制。研究结果表明:1)数字乡村发展显著促进了粮食主产区农业生产效率的提升,并且这一结论在一系列稳健性检验后依然成立;2)异质性分析显示,数字乡村政策在北方粮食主产区、经济发展水平较低及地形起伏较大的地区效果更加显著;3)机制分析表明,数字乡村发展通过推动农业规模经营、提升农业信息化水平、增加政府财政支出、强化金融服务支持和提高人力资本水平等多种途径,驱动农业生产效率的提升;4)进一步分析发现,数字乡村发展政策在农业经营规模较大、信息化水平较低、政府财政支出、金融服务支持和人力资本水平较高的地区效果更为明显,且在社会化服务水平较高的地区,政策效应更易显现。本研究揭示了数字乡村发展驱动农业生产效率提升的作用机制,为乡村振兴与农业数字化的协同发展提供了有益的政策参考。

    Abstract:

    Improving agricultural production efficiency and transforming the traditional agricultural production and operation model are critical prerequisites for ensuring the stable production and supply of grain and other key agricultural products in major grain-producing regions. Based on panel data from 455 counties (cities) in major grain-producing areas spanning 2013 to 2023, this study employs a difference-in-differences (DID) model to empirically examine the impact of digital rural development policies on agricultural production efficiency and its underlying mechanisms. The findings indicate that: 1) Digital rural development has significantly enhanced agricultural production efficiency in major grain-producing regions, and this conclusion remains robust after a series of rigorous robustness tests; 2) Heterogeneity analysis reveals that the effects of digital rural policies are more pronounced in northern China"s major grain-producing areas, regions with lower levels of economic development, and areas characterized by significant terrain fluctuations; 3) Mechanism analysis demonstrates that digital rural development promotes improvements in agricultural production efficiency through multiple pathways, including facilitating large-scale agricultural operations, enhancing agricultural informatization, increasing government fiscal expenditures, strengthening financial service support, and elevating the level of high human capital; 4) Further analysis indicates that the impact of digital rural development policies is more evident in regions with larger agricultural operation scales, lower information technology levels, higher government fiscal expenditures, stronger financial service support, higher human capital levels, and more advanced socialized service systems. This study elucidates the mechanisms through which digital rural development drives improvements in agricultural production efficiency and provides valuable policy insights for the coordinated advancement of rural revitalization and agricultural digitalization.

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秦旺康,凌佳旭,薛永基. 数字乡村发展对粮食主产区农业生产效率提升的影响机制研究[J]. 农业现代化研究, 2025, 46(3): 454-469
QIN Wangkang, LING Jiaxu, XUE Yongji. Research on the influencing mechanism of digital rural development on the improvement of agricultural production efficiency in main grain producing areas[J]. Research of Agricultural Modernization, 2025, 46(3): 454-469

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  • 收稿日期:2025-03-04
  • 最后修改日期:2025-04-14
  • 录用日期:2025-04-16
  • 在线发布日期: 2025-06-18
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