陕西省保护性耕作净碳汇的时空格局及驱动因素
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作者单位:

1.西北农林科技大学经济管理学院;2.西安财经大学管理学院

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教育部人文社会科学研究项目(23YJA630111)


Spatio-temporal pattern and driving factors of net carbon sink of conservation tillage in Shaanxi Province, China
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Affiliation:

1.College of Economics & Management, Northwest A& F University;2.College of Management, Xi’an University of Finance and Economics

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Foundation for the Development of Humanities and Social Sciences of Ministry of Education of China (23YJA630111)

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    摘要:

    保护性耕作是提升耕地固碳减排能力的重要措施,分析其净碳汇的时空格局及驱动因素对实现国家“双碳”目标具有重要意义。本文以陕西省为研究对象,采用2000—2020年数据,结合ArcGIS 10.7平台的自然断点法、标准差椭圆和地理探测器分析保护性耕作净碳汇的时空分布及其驱动因素。研究结果表明:1)陕西省保护性耕作净碳汇从2000年的57.76万t增长至2020年的129.30万t,增幅达到123.86%,但增速在不同阶段存在差异,且土壤固碳始终是主要构成部分。2)净碳汇的空间分布呈现“关中>陕北>陕南”格局,其中关中地区始终为核心区域,净碳汇的中心呈现“西-南-东北”方向的迁移,尤其是陕北地区的净碳汇增长趋势明显。3)复种指数、农业机械化水平、财政支农水平等因素对陕西省保护性耕作净碳汇时空格局演变具有显著驱动作用,且不同类型因子间的驱动力强于同类型因子之间的驱动作用。基于此,建议加强保护性耕作农机具与作业补贴政策,实施针对性技术指导,鼓励科研机构研发适应性农机具,从而进一步提升保护性耕作的固碳减排效益,推动农业为“双碳”目标作出更大贡献。

    Abstract:

    Conservation tillage is a crucial measure for enhancing the carbon sequestration and emission reduction capacity of farmland. Analyzing the spatio-temporal patterns and driving factors of its net carbon sink is of significant importance for achieving the national “dual carbon” goals. This study focuses on Shaanxi Province, utilizing data from 2000 to 2020, combined with the natural breakpoint method, standard deviation ellipse, and geographical detector on the ArcGIS 10.7 platform, to analyze the spatio-temporal distribution and driving factors of the net carbon sink from conservation tillage. The research results indicate the following: 1) The net carbon sink of conservation tillage in Shaanxi Province increased from 577.6 thousand tons in 2000 to 1 293.0 thousand tons in 2020, representing a growth of 123.86%. However, the growth rate varied across different stages, with soil carbon sequestration consistently being the major component. 2) The spatial distribution of the net carbon sink followed the pattern of “Guanzhong > Northern Shaanxi > Southern Shaanxi”, with the Guanzhong region consistently being the core area. The center of the net carbon sink exhibited a migration trend from “west-south-northeast”, with a particularly pronounced growth trend in Northern Shaanxi. 3) Factors such as the cropping index, agricultural mechanization level, and financial support for agriculture have a significant driving effect on the spatio-temporal evolution of the net carbon sink from conservation tillage in Shaanxi Province. Moreover, the driving force between different types of factors is stronger than that within the same type of factors. Based on these findings, it is recommended to strengthen policies related to subsidies for conservation tillage machinery and operations, implement targeted technical guidance, and encourage research institutions to develop adaptive agricultural machinery. These measures will further enhance the carbon sequestration and emission reduction benefits of conservation tillage, contributing more significantly to the agricultural sector’s role in achieving the national “dual carbon” goals.

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引用本文

郗长军,李园园,薛彩霞. 陕西省保护性耕作净碳汇的时空格局及驱动因素[J]. 农业现代化研究, 2025, 46(2): 294-304
XI Changjun, LI Yuanyuan, XUE Caixia. Spatio-temporal pattern and driving factors of net carbon sink of conservation tillage in Shaanxi Province, China[J]. Research of Agricultural Modernization, 2025, 46(2): 294-304

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  • 收稿日期:2024-11-04
  • 最后修改日期:2025-01-20
  • 录用日期:2025-02-01
  • 在线发布日期: 2025-04-18
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