生猪良种补贴政策缓解了生猪种业“卡脖子”问题吗?——基于良种化水平视角
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1.东北农业大学经济管理学院;2.中国热带农业科学院科技信息研究所

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国家社会科学基金一般项目(22BJY084);教育部人文社科一般项目(21YJA790053);海南省热带作物信息技术应用研究重点实验室2023年度开放基金项目(ZDSYS-KFJJ-202302)


Does the subsidy policy for improved pig varieties alleviate the “necklace” problem of pig seed industry? Based on the perspective of improved variety level
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1.Northeast agricultural university;2.Institute of Scientific and Technical Information, Chinese Academy of Tropical Agricultural Sciences

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Supported by the National Social Science Foundation of China (22BJY084); the Foundation of Humanities and Social Sciences of Ministry of Education of China (21YJA790053); Hainan Provincial Key Laboratory of Tropical Crops Information Technology Application Research 2023 Open Fund Project (ZDSYS-KFJJ-202302)。

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    摘要:

    在当前生猪种业面临“卡脖子”问题的背景下,探讨生猪良种补贴政策的效果及其影响生猪良种化的机制黑箱,对缓解生猪种业困境具有积极意义。本研究在理论分析的基础上,基于2007—2016年全国30个省(市、区)的平衡面板数据,采用多期双重差分模型实证探究生猪良种补贴对生猪种业的影响,并运用中介效应模型和调节效应模型验证作用机理。研究结果表明:生猪良种补贴政策能够有效缓解生猪种业“卡脖子”问题,且影响效果呈现出先上升后下降的动态趋势。机制分析显示,生猪良种补贴政策通过提高良种技术服务水平和降低良种技术交易成本提升生猪良种化水平,此外,生猪良种补贴政策能够降低疫病风险对良种化水平的负向影响。异质性分析发现,在良种化程度更低、生猪出栏规模更高、中集约规模的地区,生猪良种补贴政策的政策效果更为明显。因此,应持续推进生猪良种补贴政策、多措并举优化生猪种业发展环境、并因地制宜推广良种技术。

    Abstract:

    The pig seed industry is facing the problem of “necklace” and it is of positive significance to discuss the effect of the subsidy policy for improved pig varieties and the mechanism black box that affects the improvement of improved pig varieties. Applying the theoretical analysis and based on a balanced panel data of 30 provinces (cities, districts) from 2007 to 2016, this study empirically explores the influence of pig seed subsidies on pig seed industry by using multi-period double difference model and verifies the mechanism by using intermediary effect model and regulatory effect model. Results show that the subsidy policy for improved pig varieties can effectively alleviate the problem of “necklace” in pig seed industry, and the influence effect shows a dynamic trend of first rising and then falling. Mechanism analysis shows that the improved pig seed subsidy policy can improve the improved pig seed level by improving the technical service level and reducing the transaction cost of improved pig seed technology. In addition, the improved pig seed subsidy policy can reduce the negative impact of disease risk on the improved pig seed level. Heterogeneity analysis shows that the policy effect of pig improved variety subsidy policy is more obvious in areas with lower improved variety, higher pig slaughter scale and medium intensive scale. Therefore, this paper provides the following suggestions: continuing to promote the subsidy policy for improved pig seeds, optimizing the development environment of pig seed industry by taking various measures, and promoting improved seed technology according to local conditions.

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引用本文

王刚毅,贾亦蕾,申玉琢. 生猪良种补贴政策缓解了生猪种业“卡脖子”问题吗?——基于良种化水平视角[J]. 农业现代化研究, 2025, 46(2): 248-259
WANG Gangyi, JIA Yilei, SHEN Yuzhuo. Does the subsidy policy for improved pig varieties alleviate the “necklace” problem of pig seed industry? Based on the perspective of improved variety level[J]. Research of Agricultural Modernization, 2025, 46(2): 248-259

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  • 收稿日期:2024-10-14
  • 最后修改日期:2025-03-17
  • 录用日期:2025-03-17
  • 在线发布日期: 2025-04-18
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