湖南省种植业碳足迹区域差异及其驱动因素分析
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1.湖南农业大学环境与生态学院;2.湖南省农村经济学会;3.永州市零陵区农业农村局

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国家自然科学基金区域创新发展联合基金项目(U21A20184)


Analysis of regional differences and driving factors of plantation carbon footprints in Hunan Province
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Affiliation:

1.College of Environment and Ecology, Hunan Agricultural University;2.Hunan Society of Rural Economics,Changsha;3.Agricultural and Rural Affairs Bureau of Lingling District, Yongzhou City

Fund Project:

Regional Innovation Development Joint Fund Project of the National Natural Science Foundation of China (U21A20184)

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    摘要:

    在“双碳”目标背景下,农业种植作为温室气体排放的重要源头,其碳足迹的量化分析对于制定有效的碳减排策略至关重要。本研究对湖南省2006—2020年农业种植活动中的碳排放、碳吸收及碳足迹等指标进行了测算,并基于泰尔指数模型揭示了种植业碳足迹的时空异质性,采用LMDI模型对其驱动因素进行了深入分析。研究结果表明,湖南省种植业的碳排放、碳吸收和碳足迹总量呈现先升后降的波动趋势,碳足迹强度则呈持续下降趋势。碳排放的主要来源为化肥施用和农田利用过程,分别占总排放量的77.76%和9.51%;碳吸收主要来源于水稻,占比高达80.7%。环洞庭湖片区的碳排放量、碳吸收量和碳足迹均居全省首位,而大湘西片区的碳足迹强度最高。泰尔指数分析表明,碳足迹强度的总体差异由区域间差异向区域内差异转变,长株潭片区的差异贡献度最大,环洞庭湖片区的区域内差异逐年扩大。LMDI模型分解分析结果显示,提升农业生产效率是减缓种植业碳足迹增长的关键因素,而农业经济水平的提升则在一定程度上加剧了碳足迹的增长。本研究提出了加强资源化利用、优化生产资料配置及调整产业结构等一系列政策建议,以期为湖南省种植业制定精准的碳减排政策提供参考

    Abstract:

    In the context of the “dual carbon” goal, agricultural planting is a significant source of greenhouse gas emissions, and quantifying its carbon footprint is crucial for formulating effective carbon emission reduction strategies. This study measures the carbon emissions, carbon absorption, and carbon footprint of agricultural planting activities in Hunan Province from 2006 to 2020. Using the Theil index model, we reveal the spatiotemporal heterogeneity of the planting industry’s carbon footprint, while the LMDI model is employed to conduct an in-depth analysis of its driving factors. The results show that the total carbon emissions, carbon absorption, and carbon footprint of Hunan’s planting industry exhibited a fluctuating trend, initially increasing and then decreasing, while carbon footprint intensity showed a continuous decline. The primary sources of carbon emissions were chemical fertilizer application and farmland utilization, accounting for 77.76% and 9.51% of total emissions, respectively. Carbon absorption was predominantly contributed by rice cultivation, accounting for 80.7%. Among the different regions, the Dongting Lake area had the highest carbon emissions, carbon absorption, and total carbon footprint, whereas the Greater Western Hunan area exhibited the highest carbon footprint intensity. The Theil index analysis indicates that the overall disparity in carbon footprint intensity has shifted from inter-regional differences to intra-regional differences, with the Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan area contributing the most to regional disparities, while intra-regional differences in the Dongting Lake area have expanded annually. The LMDI decomposition analysis reveals that improving agricultural production efficiency is the key factor in mitigating the growth of the planting industry’s carbon footprint, whereas the rising agricultural economic level has, to some extent, exacerbated carbon footprint growth. This study proposes a series of policy recommendations, including enhancing resource utilization efficiency, optimizing the allocation of production inputs, and adjusting the agricultural industrial structure. These findings provide valuable insights for formulating precise carbon emission reduction policies for the planting industry in Hunan Province.

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引用本文

王璨君,王沛,洪以群,陈秋华,罗巨英,徐华勤. 湖南省种植业碳足迹区域差异及其驱动因素分析[J]. 农业现代化研究, 2025, 46(2): 305-316
WANG Canjun, WANG Pei, HONG Yiqun, CHEN Qiuhua, LUO Juying, XU Huaqin. Analysis of regional differences and driving factors of plantation carbon footprints in Hunan Province[J]. Research of Agricultural Modernization, 2025, 46(2): 305-316

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  • 收稿日期:2024-09-25
  • 最后修改日期:2025-02-07
  • 录用日期:2025-02-08
  • 在线发布日期: 2025-04-18
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