农业数字化发展对中国粮食安全保障的影响机制研究
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作者单位:

1.重庆邮电大学 经济管理学院;2.重庆邮电大学;3.哈尔滨工程大学 经济管理学院

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基金项目:

国家社会科学基金项目(19BSH122)


Research on the impact mechanism of agricultural digitalization development on grain security in China
Author:
Affiliation:

1.Chongqing University of Posts and Telecommunications School of economics and management;2.Chongqing University of Posts and Telecommunications;3.Harbin Engineering University School of economics and management

Fund Project:

Supported by the National Social Science Foundation of China (19BSH122).

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    摘要:

    粮食安全是国家安全的重要基础,农业数字化发展为粮食安全保障注入新动能。本研究基于2012—2022年中国31个省、自治区、直辖市(不包括港澳台地区)的面板数据,运用熵值法测算农业数字化发展水平和粮食安全保障水平,利用面板分位数回归模型等定量研究方法,勘察农业数字化对粮食安全保障的影响机制。结果表明:1)农业数字化有助于提升国家粮食安全保障水平,且特别有助于粮食安全保障高水平地区的能力提升;2)农业数字化对粮食安全保障的影响具有依赖农业产业规模的门槛效应;3)农业技术创新是农业数字化影响粮食安全保障的重要中介渠道;4)环境规制负向调节农业数字化对粮食安全保障的影响;5)在中部地区、粮食主产区、农业生产信息化高水平地区,农业数字化的赋能效果更明显。由此,应大力推进农业数字化发展,优化农业产业结构,提高农业技术创新能力,完善环境规制政策体系,充分发挥各区域比较优势,深入挖掘农业数字化的发展潜力,以实现对粮食安全保障能力的全面增强和持续提升。

    Abstract:

    Grain security is a crucial foundation for national security, and the development of agricultural digitization injects new momentum into safeguarding grain security. Based on a panel data from 31 provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the central government in China (excluding Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan) from 2012 to 2022, this paper employs the entropy method to measure the levels of agricultural digitization and grain security. Utilizing quantitative research methods such as panel quantile regression models, it examines the impact mechanism of agricultural digitization on grain security. Results indicate that: 1) Agricultural digitalization helps to enhance the national level of grain security, especially in areas with high levels of grain security; 2) The impact of agricultural digitalization on grain security has a threshold effect that depends on the scale of the agricultural industry; 3) Agricultural technological innovation is an important intermediary channel through which agricultural digitalization affects grain security; 4) Environmental regulation negatively moderates the impact of agricultural digitalization on grain security; and 5) In central regions, major grain-producing areas, and areas with high levels of agricultural production informatization, the empowering effects of agricultural digitalization are more pronounced. Therefore in order to comprehensively strengthen and continuously enhance grain security guarantee capabilities, this paper suggests: promoting the development of agricultural digitization, optimizing the structure of the agricultural industry, enhancing agricultural technological innovation capabilities, improving the environmental regulation policy system, fully leveraging the comparative advantages of various regions, and deeply tapping the development potential of agricultural digitization.

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李盛竹,刘彬,姜金贵. 农业数字化发展对中国粮食安全保障的影响机制研究[J]. 农业现代化研究, 2024, 45(6): 966-977
LI Shengzhu, LIU Bin, JIANG Jingui. Research on the impact mechanism of agricultural digitalization development on grain security in China[J]. Research of Agricultural Modernization, 2024, 45(6): 966-977

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  • 收稿日期:2024-06-06
  • 最后修改日期:2024-12-21
  • 录用日期:2024-12-23
  • 在线发布日期: 2025-01-24
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