农业强省建设水平: 时空演变与区域差异
作者:
作者单位:

1.江西省农业科学院农业经济与信息研究所;2.西安外国语大学商学院

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基金项目:

国家自然科学基金项目(72063018、72163015);江西省社会科学基金项目(23YJ56D)


Construction level of strong agricultural provinces: spatial-temporal evolution and regional differences
Author:
Affiliation:

1.Institute of Agricultural Economics and Information, Jiangxi Academy of Agricultural Sciences;2.BUSINESS SCHOOL OF XI'AN INTERNATIONAL STUDIES UNIVERSITY

Fund Project:

Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (72063018, 72163015); Social Science Foundation of Jiangxi Province (23YJ56D)

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    摘要:

    建设农业强省是实现农业强国的有力抓手。通过构建农业强省建设水平综合评价指标体系,本研究分析了2011—2021年我国及其东部、东北部、中部、西部的农业强省建设水平,并运用Moran’s I指数和Dagum基尼系数探讨了我国各地区农业强省建设水平的时空演变特征与区域差异。研究发现:1)2011—2021年中国及其四大区域农业强省建设水平均逐年上升,中部增长率居首,形成中部>东北>东部>西部的格局。2)农业绿色发展、农业经营体系、农业供给保障、农业科技装备和农民生活水平5个维度是农业强省建设水平提升的主要动力,而农业产业竞争力和农业产业韧性2个维度则是当前农业强省建设中的短板,且7个维度在四大区域的变动趋势相似但建设水平差异显著。3)我国农业强省建设水平存在空间正相关性和集聚特征,呈现“高—高”集聚和“低—低”集聚的空间特征,但空间集聚分化现象呈加剧趋势。4)农业强省建设水平的总体差异呈扩大趋势,主要由超变密度和区域间差异所驱动。研究认为各地区未来应聚焦补短板、强弱项,遵循比较优势原则发展,建设各具特色的农业强省,同时应着力加强跨区合作与政策支持,以缩小区域差距,实现农业均衡发展。

    Abstract:

    Building a strong agricultural province constitutes a potent starting point for realizing a strong agricultural country. By establishing a comprehensive evaluation index system for the construction level of strong agricultural provinces, this study analyzed the construction levels of these provinces across the eastern, northeastern, central, and western regions from 2011 to 2021, and further examined the spatial-temporal evolution characteristics and regional differences in the construction levels of strong agricultural provinces throughout China by the Moran""s I index and the Dagum Gini coefficient analysis. Results show that: 1) from 2011 to 2021, the construction level of China and its four major regional strong agricultural provinces in the east, northeast, central and western regions increased annually, with the central region exhibiting the highest growth rate, establishing a pattern of central > northeast > east > west; 2) the five dimensions of agricultural green development, agricultural management system, agricultural supply security, agricultural scientific and technological equipment, and farmers"" living standards are primary driving forces for enhancing the construction level of strong agricultural provinces. Meanwhile agricultural industrial competitiveness and agricultural industrial resilience are identified as weaknesses in current efforts to build up strong agricultural provinces. Additionally, the seven dimensions “five strong two high” exhibit similar trends across all four regions with significant differences in their levels of development; 3) spatial positive correlation and agglomeration characteristics are observed in China’s strong agricultural province construction levels, suggesting an overall spatial pattern characterized by “high-high” agglomeration as well as “low-low” agglomeration, but the trend towards spatial agglomeration differentiation is intensifying; and 4) overall differences in construction levels among strong agricultural provinces show an expanding trend primarily due to hyperbolic density and inter-regional differences. This study suggests more future efforts to address regional weakness and strength, to adhere to the principle of comparative advantages, and to develop strong agricultural provinces tailored to their unique characteristics. Additionally, it emphasizes the importance of enhancing cross-regional cooperation and policy support to reduce the regional differences in the construction of strong agricultural provinces and to promote balanced development.

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引用本文

余永琦,彭柳林,陈潜宜,卢慧,池泽新. 农业强省建设水平: 时空演变与区域差异[J]. 农业现代化研究, 2024, 45(5): 782-792
YU Yong-qi, PENG Liu-lin, CHEN Qian-yi, LU Hui, CHI Ze-xin. Construction level of strong agricultural provinces: spatial-temporal evolution and regional differences[J]. Research of Agricultural Modernization, 2024, 45(5): 782-792

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  • 收稿日期:2024-05-10
  • 最后修改日期:2024-09-09
  • 录用日期:2024-09-10
  • 在线发布日期: 2024-11-27
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