数字金融能否提升农户家庭经济韧性? ——基于CHFS数据的实证研究
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东北农业大学经济管理学院

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黑龙江省哲学社会科学研究规划项目(23JYB277)


Can digital finance enhance the economic resilience of rural households? Empirical research based on CHFS data
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School of Economics and Management, Northeast Agricultural University

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Heilongjiang Province Philosophy and Social Science Research Planning Project (23JYB277)

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    摘要:

    当前数字金融发展迅速,特别是在防止农户家庭返贫和推动农村经济高质量发展方面展现了显著优势。提升农户家庭经济韧性是我国农村经济发展的关键目标。本研究基于2015—2019年间的中国家庭金融调查(CHFS)数据,采用动态福利函数估计方法测度农户家庭经济韧性指标,构建面板固定效应模型,实证分析数字金融对农户家庭经济韧性的直接影响机制。同时,本研究利用中介效应模型检验了农业全要素生产率、风险承担能力和社会资本在数字金融促进农户家庭经济韧性提升中的间接作用,并从数字鸿沟的视角分析了数字金融对不同农户家庭的异质性影响。研究结果表明:1)数字金融显著促进了农户家庭经济韧性水平的提升;2)农业全要素生产率、风险承担能力和社会资本在数字金融对农户家庭经济韧性影响中发挥了重要的中介作用;3)异质性分析显示,即使在存在数字鸿沟的情况下,拥有高智能手机使用水平、高网络通信支出以及高金融素养的农户家庭,数字金融对其经济韧性的促进作用更为显著。基于研究结果,本研究为制定相关政策建议提供了理论和实证依据,建议加强数字金融的普及与应用,特别是在农村地区,以增强农户家庭的经济韧性,促进可持续农村发展。

    Abstract:

    The rapid development of digital finance has shown significant advantages, particularly in preventing rural households from falling back into poverty and promoting high-quality rural economic development. Enhancing the economic resilience of rural households is a key goal of China’s rural economic development. This study, based on data from the China Household Finance Survey (CHFS) from 2015 to 2019, employs the dynamic welfare function estimation method to measure economic resilience indicators of rural households. It constructs a panel fixed-effects model to empirically analyze the direct impact mechanism of digital finance on the economic resilience of rural households. Additionally, this study uses a mediation effects model to examine the indirect roles of agricultural total factor productivity, risk-bearing capacity, and social capital in enhancing rural households" economic resilience through digital finance. It also analyzes the heterogeneous impact of digital finance on different rural households from the perspective of the digital divide. The results show that: 1) Digital finance significantly promotes the economic resilience of rural households; 2) Agricultural total factor productivity, risk-bearing capacity, and social capital play important mediating roles in the impact of digital finance on the economic resilience of rural households; 3) Heterogeneity analysis indicates that even in the presence of a digital divide, rural households with higher levels of smartphone use, higher network communication spending, and higher financial literacy benefit more significantly from digital finance in terms of economic resilience. Based on these findings, this study provides a theoretical and empirical basis for formulating relevant policy recommendations, suggesting that the popularization and application of digital finance should be strengthened, especially in rural areas, to enhance the economic resilience of rural households and promote sustainable rural development.

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引用本文

庞金波,顾宇轩. 数字金融能否提升农户家庭经济韧性? ——基于CHFS数据的实证研究[J]. 农业现代化研究, 2024, 45(5): 826-837
PANG Jin-bo, GU Yu-xuan. Can digital finance enhance the economic resilience of rural households? Empirical research based on CHFS data[J]. Research of Agricultural Modernization, 2024, 45(5): 826-837

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  • 收稿日期:2024-04-19
  • 最后修改日期:2024-07-15
  • 录用日期:2024-07-17
  • 在线发布日期: 2024-11-27
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