An Empirical Study on Influencing Factors of Fluctuation and Policy Suggestions in Hog Production in Hunan

This paper, adopting the H-P Wave Method, finds that there are five fluctuation cycles in the hog production while taking the slaughtering amount of hogs in Hunan province during 1978 to 2007 as the object of study. After a quantitative analysis, it concludes that the internal transmission mechanism of the hog production systems on pig production fluctuations accounted for 71.56%. The internal factors of conduction are output value of animal husbandry, rural per capita net income, per capita output of pork and rural population. To lessen the fluctuation, and promote the healthy development of hog production industry in Hunan, it is necessary to construct a policy system based on the market mechanism.