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农业技术进步偏向对粮食全要素生产率的影响

The effects of agricultural technological progress bias on the total factor productivity of grain

  • 摘要: “藏粮于技”是粮食稳产高产的重要保障。基于2002—2020年26个主要粮食生产省份的面板数据,利用三要素嵌套CES生产函数以及DEA-Malmquist模型测度农业技术进步偏向和粮食全要素生产率,并运用空间滞后模型分析农业技术进步偏向对粮食全要素生产率的影响。结果表明,我国农业技术进步是非中性的,不同时间、地区以及不同粮食作物的农业技术进步偏向性均存在差异。研究期间我国整体技术进步偏向农业机械要素。不同于小麦整体的农机偏向型技术进步模式,稻谷、玉米的技术进步特征有明显的生化偏向性。2002—2020年间,粮食全要素生产率波动明显,且粮食主产区的综合生产效率明显优于非主产区。当前我国农机偏向型技术进步模式不利于粮食全要素生产率提升,具有明显的负向溢出效应,非主产区生化偏向型技术进步对粮食全要素生产率的促进作用更加明显。符合粮食技术进步偏向特征的技术创新更能促进粮食增产增收。因此,可以利用技术创新替代稀缺资源,在发挥农业机械化优势的同时,根据粮食生产自有禀赋发展并应用新型生物化学型技术,促进技术进步与粮食提效的良性循环。

     

    Abstract: "Storing grain in technology" is an important guarantee of stable and high grain production. Based on a panel data of 26 major grain-producing provinces from 2002 to 2020, this research seeks to measure the bias of agricultural technological progress and grain total factor productivity by the three-factor nested CES production function and the DEA-Malmquist model and to analyze the influence of agricultural technological progress bias on grain total factor productivity by the spatial lag model. Results show that, China's agricultural technological progress was non-neutral, and there were differences in the bias of agricultural technological progress at different times, regions, and different food crops. During the research period, China's overall technological progress was biased towards agricultural machinery elements. Different from the agricultural machinery-biased model of wheat, the characteristics of rice and maize had obvious biochemical bias. From 2002 to 2020, the total factor productivity of grain fluctuated significantly, and the comprehensive production efficiency of the main grain producing areas was significantly better than that of the non-main producing areas. Currently, China's agricultural machinery-biased model of technological progress is not conducive to the promotion of the total factor productivity of grain and has obvious negative spillover effects. In addition, biochemical-biased technological progress in non-major production areas has a more significant effect on the total factor productivity of grain. Technological innovation that conforms to the biased characteristics of grain technological progress can better promote grain production and income. Therefore, to promote a virtuous cycle of technological progress and food efficiency, this paper suggests to replace scarce resources with technological innovation, to give a full play to the advantages of agricultural mechanization, and to develop and apply new biochemical technologies according to the endowments of grain production.

     

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