高级检索

农业机械化对种植结构“趋粮化”的空间溢出效应分析

Analysis on the spatial spillover effect of agricultural mechanization on the “tendency to grain production” in planting structure

  • 摘要: 农业机械化推动了农业分工深化和种植结构调整,基于2001—2018年省级面板数据,运用空间Durbin模型定量分析农业机械化发展对种植结构的空间溢出效应。研究表明:1)从整体上看,农业机械化发展对周边省份种植结构“趋粮化”存在正向空间溢出效应,这主要归因于大中型农机跨区作业。2)本地农业劳动力价格上涨将促进周边省份的“趋粮化”,城镇化进程和农林水支出则表现出抑制作用。3)2001—2003年农业机械化的空间溢出效应并不显著,2004年以后农业机械总动力、大中型拖拉机动力的空间溢出效应为正且呈现递增趋势,2011年小型拖拉机动力开始出现正的空间溢出效应。4)不同地形条件的地区农业机械化的空间溢出效应存在差异,平原地区农业机械总动力和大中型拖拉机动力有正向空间溢出效应,而丘陵山区农业机械总动力和小型拖拉机动力则呈负向空间溢出效应。为此提出加强农机区域协调、推进“宜机化”改造和加快农机社会化服务等建议。

     

    Abstract: Agricultural mechanization has promoted the development of agricultural division and adjustment of planting structure. Based on a provincial panel data from 2001 to 2018 and applying the spatial Durbin model, this paper analyzed the spatial spillover effect of agricultural mechanization on planting structure. Results show that: 1) overall, the development of agricultural mechanization had some positive spatial spillover effects on the “tendency to grain production” in surrounding provinces, which was mainly manifested as large and medium-sized tractors in the cross-regional operation; 2) the rising price of local agricultural labor can promote the “tendency to grain production” of the surrounding provinces, while the urbanization development and the agroforestry expenditures had some negative effects; 3) the spatial spillover effect of agricultural mechanization was not significant from 2001 to 2003. However, after 2004, the spatial spillover effect of the total power of agricultural machinery and the power of large and medium-sized tractors was positive with an increasing trend. The initial spatial spillover effect of small tractors appeared since 2011; and 4) the spatial spillover effects of agricultural mechanization were different under different terrain endowments. The spatial spillover effects of the total power of agricultural machinery and the power of large and medium-sized tractors were positive in plain areas, while the spatial spillover effects of the total power of agricultural machinery and the power of small tractors were negative in hilly and mountainous areas. Consequently, this paper suggests: to strengthen the regional coordination of agricultural machinery, to promote measures of farmland construction suitable for mechanization, and to accelerate the socialized service of agricultural machinery.

     

/

返回文章
返回