高级检索

海南岛天然橡胶气候适宜性及变化趋势分析——以第一蓬叶生长期为例

Climate suitability and its trend oAf change for rubber plant in the first canopy leaf growth period in Hainan Island

  • 摘要: 本文选择“初产-旺产期”的天然橡胶为例,选择温度、降水量和降水日数、日照、风速等气象要素,建立相应的模型,定量评价海南橡胶在第一蓬叶生长期的气候适宜性。结果表明:海南岛天然橡胶第一蓬叶生长期的温度适宜度在0.82-0.96 之间,变化趋势为-0.008-0.034/10a;降水适宜度在0.22-0.57 之间,变化趋势为-0.023-0.042/10a;日照适宜度在0.45-0.82 之间,变化趋势为-0.060-0.032/10a;风速适宜度在0.34-0.77 之间,变化趋势为-0.033-0.138/10a;气候适宜度在0.41-0.68 之间,变化趋势为-0.006-0.044/10a。总体而言,气候变化对海南橡胶第一蓬叶生长期的影响较小,变化趋势不明显。

     

    Abstract: In this paper, the temperature, precipitation, the number of days with precipitation, solar radiation, wind speed and other meteorological elements were selected to establish a model to assess the climate suitability of rubber plant ingrowing season within a time period of 10-12 years. The results showed that: temperature suitability of the first canopyleaf growth period rubber plant in Hainan Island was between 0.82-0.96, and change trend was -0.008-0.034/10a;precipitation suitability degree was between 0.22-0.57, and change trend was -0.023-0.042/10a; sunshine suitabilitydegree was 0.45-0.82, and change trend was -0.060-0.032/10a; wind suitability was between 0.34-0.77, change trend was between-0.033-0.138/10a; climate suitability was between 0.41-0.68, and changes was between -0.006-0.044/10a. Ingeneral, the impacts of climate change on the rubber plant during the first canopy leaf growth period in Hainan Island was not significant, the trend of change was relatively negligible.

     

/

返回文章
返回