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中国与欧盟农产品贸易的比较优势和增长前景研究

A study on the comparative advantage and growth potential of agricultural trade between China and EU

  • 摘要: 中国与欧盟互为彼此重要农产品贸易伙伴。根据UN COMTRADE数据库中2000-2013年数据,利用显示性比较优势指数、综合贸易互补性指数、修正的出口相似性指数和贸易强度指数,对中欧农产品贸易的比较优势和增长前景进行了研究。结果表明,中欧各自具有出口比较优势的农产品类别及其出口比较优势均存在较大差异;中国农产品出口与欧盟农产品进口存在较强互补性且还在进一步增强,欧盟农产品出口与中国农产品进口的互补性则较弱;中欧对世界市场出口农产品结构的相似程度不高且还在进一步下降;中欧农产品出口市场结构具有一定相似性,但双方在相同出口市场上的出口农产品结构却存在较大差异;中欧在大多数类别农产品上均存在着紧密的贸易联系。最后,提出促进中国农产品对欧盟出口持续平稳增长的政策建议。

     

    Abstract: China and European Union(EU) are the important agricultural trade partners. Based on the data from UN COMTRADE Database during 2000-2013, this paper applies revealed competitive advantage index, comprehensive trade complementary index, modified export similarity index and trade intensity index to analyze the comparative advantage and growth potential of agricultural trade between China and EU. Results indicate that there is a big difference in category and comparative advantage of traded agricultural products between China and EU. Strong complementarity are found between China’s agricultural exports and EU agricultural imports and the complementarity is increasing, while weak complementarity exists between EU agricultural exports and China’s agricultural imports. China and EU also have some similarity for agricultural exports in the world market and the similarity is decreasing. The export markets of agricultural products of China and EU show some similarity, but China and EU’s agricultural exports have some structural difference. In summary, China and EU are close trade partners of agricultural products. This paper also provides some policy recommendations to promote the stable growth of agricultural exports of China to EU.

     

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