山东省玉米种植成本收益时序变化与特征分析:1998—2010年
Analysis on Temporal Variation and Features of Cost and Benefit of Maize Planting in Shandong Province:1998-2010ZHENG Jun, SHI Jian-min
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摘要: 本文采用趋势分析与比较分析法,分析了1998-2010年山东省玉米种植成本收益的时序变化与特征,揭示了成本与收益的关系。研究结果显示:⑴山东省玉米种植已进入高成本时期,但与全国其他省份相比,成本比较优势趋向显著。其中,基于隐性虚拟成本的优势较大,基于实际物质成本的优势逐渐削弱。⑵山东省玉米种植净利润较全国平均水平优势显著,这主要得益于产值增加的幅度高于总成本的增加幅度和玉米价格的上升两个因素。Abstract: Using trend and comparative method to analyze the temporal variation and features of maize planting’s cost and benefit in Shandong Province in 1998to 2010, to reveal the relationship among the cost and benefit. The researching results shows that:(1)in Shandong Province, it enters into a period of high cost of maize planting to comparable with others provinces. The comparative advantage of cost trend is significant. Among them, advantage based on the invented cost is bigger and the actual substantial cost advantage gradually reduces. (2)In Shandong Province, the net profits to compare with the national average level is a significant advantage and it benefits mainly from two elements, which including the output value increasing higher than the total cost increasing and maize price rising.