高级检索

我国中部地区粮食生产波动性的成因及其政策建议

Analysis on Causes of Grain Production Fluctuation and Its Policy Suggestions in Central China

  • 摘要: 中部地区是我国粮食主产区,1978-2008年其粮食产量占全国比重平均为30.33%。运用改革开放以来中部地区粮食生产的相关数据,采用粮食生产波动指数,对中部地区粮食生产的波动特性进行了分析,结果表明:1978-2008年中部地区粮食产量在波动中呈现出明显的增长趋势,并且具有波动频繁、周期短、幅度大等主要特点。针对中部地区粮食生产波动的特性,系统分析了政策导向及粮食价格、耕地总量和粮食播种面积、农业物质和技术投入、粮食流通体制等经济社会因素方面对中部地区粮食生产波动的影响。结合中部地区粮食生产基地建设实际,从加强耕地保护、稳定粮食播种面积,加大财政对农业支持力度和粮食生产基础设施建设,建立粮食生产预警机制、稳定粮食生产价格,推进农业科技进步等方面,提出了稳定中部地区粮食生产的政策建议。

     

    Abstract: Central China is the major grain producing areas of China, and its grain production accounts 30.33 percents of the whole country. Using the Grain production data of Central China from 1978 to 2008, the fluctuation index was constructed to analyze its fluctuation characteristics. The results showed: a significant increasing tendency existed with the fluctuation of the grain production in Central China from 1978 to 2008, and the fluctuation has the characteristics of change frequently, short periodic and great amplitude of variation. In view of the grain production fluctuation characteristics in Central China, we systematically analyzed the economic and social influential factors which had great influence on grain production, such as the policy guidance and the price of grain, the total amounts of arable land and grain acreage, the material and technological input of agriculture, and the grain distribution system. Combining the fact of constructing grain production base in Central China, some policies and suggestions were put forwards to stabilize its grain production. such as to intensify the arable land protection and stabilize grain cultivation area, to increase fiscal input in agriculture and infrastructure construction in grain production, to construct early warning mechanism grain production and stabilize the grain price, to propel agricultural technological progress etc.

     

/

返回文章
返回