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松嫩平原乡村地域多功能时空演变及影响因素

Spatio-temporal evolution and influencing factors of rural territorial multifunctionality in the Songnen Plain

  • 摘要: 深刻把握乡村地域多功能的空间分异规律与演化特征,是分类推进乡村全面振兴的重要科学依据。以松嫩平原42个县域单元为研究对象,构建乡村地域多功能评价指标体系,综合运用空间自相关、核密度估计和地理探测器等方法,分析2008—2023年乡村地域多功能的时空演变特征及其影响因素。结果表明:1)松嫩平原乡村地域多功能总体呈稳步提升趋势,平均值由2008年的0.231提高至2023年的0.386,增长67.09%,空间集聚显著但呈现先增强后减弱的动态特征,逐渐形成南部较高、东北部较低的空间分异格局。2)四种乡村地域功能呈现明显的差异化演变特征,农业生产功能总体提升但区域分化加剧,经济发展功能经历“南部集聚-北部扩张-南部回缩”的阶段性变化,社会保障功能提升最为显著,生态保育功能总体略有下降。3)人均GDP、第二产业增加值、产业结构和平均气温是影响乡村地域多功能空间分异的主要因素,且各因素交互作用均表现为增强效应,呈现双因子增强或非线性增强特征,表明乡村地域多功能演变是自然环境与社会经济等多重因素共同作用的结果。研究结果可为松嫩平原乡村地域功能协同提升、县域差异化发展及分类推进乡村全面振兴提供实证参考。

     

    Abstract: A thorough understanding of the spatial differentiation and evolutionary characteristics of rural territorial multifunctionality provides an important scientific basis for advancing comprehensive rural revitalization according to local conditions. Taking 42 county-level units in the Songnen Plain as the research area, this study constructed an evaluation index system for rural territorial multifunctionality and comprehensively employed spatial autocorrelation analysis, kernel density estimation, and geographical detector to examine the spatio-temporal evolution and influencing factors of rural territorial multifunctionality from 2008 to 2023. The results show that: 1) The overall level of rural territorial multifunctionality in the Songnen Plain showed a steady upward trend, with the mean value increasing from 0.231 in 2008 to 0.386 in 2023, representing an increase of 67.09%. Significant spatial agglomeration was observed, but its intensity showed a dynamic pattern of initial strengthening followed by weakening, gradually forming a spatial differentiation pattern with relatively high levels in the south and relatively low levels in the northeast. 2) The four rural territorial functions exhibited distinct evolutionary characteristics. The agricultural production function increased overall but showed greater regional differentiation, the economic development function underwent a phased shift from southern agglomeration to northern expansion and then southern contraction, the social security function experienced the most substantial improvement, and the ecological conservation function declined slightly overall. 3) Per capita GDP, secondary industry added value, industrial structure, and mean annual temperature were the major factors influencing the spatial differentiation of rural territorial multifunctionality. The interactions among all factors exhibited enhancement effects, characterized by bivariate enhancement or nonlinear enhancement, indicating that the evolution of rural territorial multifunctionality resulted from the combined effects of multiple factors, including the natural environment and socioeconomic conditions. The findings provide empirical evidence for the coordinated enhancement of rural territorial functions, differentiated county-level development, and the targeted advancement of comprehensive rural revitalization in the Songnen Plain.

     

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