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多重扰动下黄海湿地遗产地农户生计脆弱性评估与影响因素识别

Assessment and influencing factors of farmers’ livelihood vulnerability in the Yellow Sea Wetland Heritage Site under multiple disturbances

  • 摘要: 面对生态约束强化、政策体系调整与快速城镇化叠加的多重扰动,自然遗产地人地关系正经历深刻重构,农户生计脆弱性评估与调控成为协调生态保护与区域发展的关键议题。本研究以盐城黄海湿地世界自然遗产地为典型案例,基于VSD框架构建“暴露度-敏感性-适应能力”三维评价体系,结合熵权法与障碍度模型,系统识别不同类型农户生计脆弱性的分异特征及其关键影响因素。结果表明:1)农户生计适应以主动调整为主,主要表现为种养殖结构优化与生计多元化拓展,被动适应行为占比较低。2)农户生计脆弱性整体处于较低水平,但类型差异显著,呈现务农主导型>个体经营型>复合就业型>务工工资型的梯次格局,其中务农主导型农户脆弱性约为务工工资型的近2倍。3)从维度看,转产转业能力不足与生活满意度偏低分别是暴露度与敏感性的核心驱动因素,自然资本收缩、家庭资本积累不足及金融支持受限构成适应能力提升的主要约束。总体而言,农户生计脆弱性形成机制呈现“生计类型-资本禀赋-差异化响应”的耦合传导特征。基于此,应从产业带动、能力培育、制度保障与空间优化四个方面协同推进生计脆弱性减缓路径构建。研究可为理解自然保护地人地关系转型及构建差异化农户生计治理体系提供微观证据支持。

     

    Abstract: Under the combined impacts of strengthened ecological constraints, policy adjustments, and rapid urbanization, human–land relationships in natural heritage sites are undergoing profound restructuring. Assessing and mitigating farmers’ livelihood vulnerability has therefore become a key issue in balancing ecological conservation and regional development. Taking the Yancheng Yellow Sea World Natural Heritage Site as a case study, this study constructed a three-dimensional evaluation framework consisting of exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity based on the Vulnerability Scoping Diagram (VSD) framework. The entropy weight method and obstacle degree model were employed to systematically identify the differentiation characteristics and key influencing factors of livelihood vulnerability among different types of farming households. The results showed that: 1) farmers mainly adopted proactive adaptation strategies, characterized by the optimization of planting and aquaculture structures and the diversification of livelihood activities, while passive adaptation behaviors were relatively limited; 2) overall livelihood vulnerability was low, but significant differences existed among household types, exhibiting a descending pattern of farming-dominated households, self-employed households, mixed-employment households, and wage-labor households. The livelihood vulnerability of farming-dominated households was nearly twice that of wage-labor households; 3) insufficient opportunities and capacity for occupational transition and low life satisfaction were the primary drivers of exposure and sensitivity, respectively, whereas the reduction of natural capital, inadequate household capital accumulation, and limited access to financial support constituted the main constraints on adaptive capacity. Overall, the formation of livelihood vulnerability exhibited a coupled transmission mechanism characterized by “livelihood type–capital endowment–differentiated response”. Accordingly, livelihood vulnerability mitigation should be promoted through the coordinated implementation of industrial development, capacity building, institutional support, and spatial optimization. This study provides micro-level empirical evidence for understanding the transformation of human–land relationships in protected areas and offers insights for developing differentiated livelihood governance strategies for farming households.

     

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