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多重视角下我国粮食主产区的优化调整研究

Research on the optimization and adjustment of major grain producing areas from multiple perspectives

  • 摘要: 科学调整划分粮食产销区,是优化粮食政策资源配置、充分释放粮食生产潜力的重要举措。2004年我国确立了现行的13个粮食主产区,经过多年的发展演变,部分主产区的粮食产销关系已发生显著变化,主产区中具有粮食净调出能力的省份数量减少且空间分布更加集中,部分主产区已经成为事实上的产销平衡区。为精准识别粮食主产区、提高政策靶向性,本文基于2004—2024年数据,综合考量粮食面积和耕地面积、人粮匹配度和粮食净调出量三个核心指标,提出了新的粮食主产区划分设想。基于此,提出探索建立粮食主产区动态调整机制、加大对新粮食主产区的政策扶持、制定净调入粮食主产区的过渡政策等建议,以构建更加精准高效的粮食主产区政策支持体系。

     

    Abstract: Scientifically adjusting and delineating grain production and consumption areas is essential for optimizing the allocation of grain policy resources and fully realizing grain production potential. In 2004, China designated 13 major grain producing areas that remain in place today. Over the subsequent two decades, however, the relationships between grain production and consumption in some of these areas have changed substantially. The number of provinces capable of generating net grain outflows has declined, their spatial distribution has become increasingly concentrated, and some major grain producing areas have effectively transitioned into regions with a balance between grain production and consumption. To more accurately identify major grain producing areas and improve policy precision, this paper proposes a new classification framework based on data from 2004 to 2024. This framework comprehensively evaluates three core indicators: cultivated land area, the alignment between grain production and population, and net grain outflow volume. Based on this, this paper recommends establishing a dynamic adjustment mechanism for major grain producing areas, strengthening policy support for newly identified major grain producing areas, that have become net grain importers. These measures are intended to establish a more targeted, efficient, and adaptive policy support system for major grain producing areas.

     

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