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因地制宜:农业新质生产力发展的多元化组态路径研究

Development in accordance with local conditions: a study on diversified configurational paths of agricultural new quality productivity

  • 摘要: 因地制宜发展农业新质生产力不仅是对科技革命的积极响应,也是我国农业高质量发展的迫切需求,对于实现全面推进乡村振兴具有重要的战略意义。本文在测算农业新质生产力水平的基础上,从新结构经济学视角出发,运用动态QCA方法探讨了“要素禀赋结构+有效市场+有为政府”共同作用下高农业新质生产力水平产生的差异化组态路径。研究发现:1)单一前因变量均不是产生高农业新质生产力水平的必要条件,表明农业新质生产力的形成本质上是多重条件协同作用的结果;2)高农业新质生产力水平提升路径呈现出“多重并发”与“殊途同归”特征,在三个研究时段分别形成3条、3条和4条组态路径,且创新环境的持续支撑以及有效市场与有为政府的协同作用具有较强普适性;3)农业新质生产力组态演化呈现显著动态特征,其驱动逻辑由创新驱动主导逐步转向市场主导下的协同提升,组态演化则沿着“创新嵌入-市场强化-金融联动”的主导轨迹持续推进;4)区域归属检验与路径转换分析表明,其组态路径总体呈现出东部率先集聚、跨区域扩散、按禀赋分化的动态演化格局。

     

    Abstract: Developing agricultural new quality productivity in accordance with local conditions is not only a proactive response to the scientific and technological revolution, but also an urgent requirement for achieving high-quality agricultural development in China. It is of great strategic significance for comprehensively advancing rural revitalization. Based on the measurement of the level of agricultural new quality productivity, this paper adopts the perspective of new structural economics and applies the dynamic QCA method to examine the differentiated configurational paths leading to high levels of agricultural new quality productivity under the joint effects of factor endowment structure, effective market, and proactive government. The results show that: 1) No single antecedent variable constitutes a necessary condition for achieving a high level of agricultural new quality productivity, indicating that its formation is essentially the result of the joint effects of multiple conditions. 2) The improvement paths exhibit characteristics of conjunctural causation and equifinality. Across the three study periods, 3, 3, and 4 configurational paths are identified, respectively. Continuous support from the innovation environment, along with the coordinated roles of an effective market and a proactive government, demonstrates strong general applicability. 3) The configurational evolution shows significant dynamic features. The driving mechanism gradually shifts from innovation-driven dominance to market-led coordinated improvement, while the evolutionary trajectory follows a progressive path of innovation embedding, market strengthening, and financial linkage. 4) Regional attribution tests and path transition analysis indicate that these configurational paths exhibit a dynamic pattern characterized by initial concentration in the eastern region, cross-regional diffusion, and differentiation based on endowment conditions.

     

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