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农业全链条数字化与农业社会化服务提质增效:理论逻辑与实证检验

Agricultural full-chain digitalization and quality improvement of agricultural socialized services: theoretical logic and empirical testing

  • 摘要: 农业全链条数字化是将数字技术嵌入农业全产业链各环节,它是推动农业现代化和农业社会化服务体系升级的关键驱动力。基于2011—2023年中国30个省份的面板数据,测算农业全链条数字化水平与农业社会化服务供给水平,运用固定效应模型、中介效应模型和门槛效应模型,系统检验农业全链条数字化对农业社会化服务提质增效的作用机制。结果表明:1)农业全链条数字化显著提升了农业社会化服务供给水平,且在稳健性检验和内生性处理后依然成立。2)农业全链条数字化主要通过促进农村人力资本积累、农业科技创新和农业规模化经营,推动农业社会化服务提质增效。3)农业全链条数字化的促进作用在东中部地区、粮食主产区和主销区更为突出。4)农业流通数字化和农业公共服务数字化的促进作用更强,基础设施数字化的赋能作用相对较弱。5)农业全链条数字化对农业社会化服务供给的影响存在显著的非线性门槛特征。基于此,提出应从数字农业生态构建、服务主体培育、区域协同和机制创新等方面协同发力,推动农业社会化服务高质量发展。

     

    Abstract: Full-chain digitalization in agriculture involves integrating digital technologies into every stage of the agricultural industrial chain and serves as a key driver of agricultural modernization and the upgrading of the agricultural socialized service system. Based on panel data from 30 Chinese provinces for the period 2011 to 2023, this study measures the levels of full-chain agricultural digitalization and agricultural socialized service provision. This paper employs the fixed-effect model, the mediation-effect model, and the threshold-effect model to systematically examine the mechanism through which full-chain agricultural digitalization improves the quality and efficiency of agricultural socialized services. The results indicate that: 1) full-chain agricultural digitalization significantly improves the level of agricultural socialized service provision, and this finding remains robust after a series of robustness checks and endogeneity treatments; 2) it promotes the development of agricultural socialized services primarily by facilitating rural human capital, fostering agricultural technological innovation, and encouraging large-scale agricultural operations; 3) its positive effect is more pronounced in the eastern and central regions and in major grain-producing and -consuming areas; 4) the digitalization of agricultural circulation and public services has a stronger positive effect, whereas infrastructure digitalization plays a relatively limited enabling role; and 5) the impact of full-chain of agricultural digitalization on agricultural socialized service provision exhibits significant nonlinear threshold effects. Based on these findings, this paper suggests that concerted efforts should be made to build a digital agricultural ecosystem, cultivate service providers, strengthen regional coordination, and develop innovative mechanisms to promote the high-quality development of agricultural socialized services.

     

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