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东江湖浙水流域面源污染优先管理区识别与管理措施评估

Identification of priority management areas and evaluation of management measures for nonpoint source pollution in the Zheshui Watershed of Dongjiang Lake

  • 摘要: 流域优先管理区(PMAs)的识别及最佳管理措施(BMPs)效益评估是农业面源污染精准治理与科学决策的重要依据。本研究以东江湖浙水流域为研究对象,基于SWAT模型与情景模拟,综合考虑氮磷通量、人口密度及水质要求因子识别PMAs,并评估BMPs的污染削减效率与成本效益。结果表明,流域氮磷流失负荷分别为8~15 kg/hm2和0.15~0.70 kg/hm2。PMAs面积仅占流域总面积的9%,却贡献约30.7%的氮和43.7%的磷通量,其中94%的PMAs为耕地,表明农业活动叠加高水文连通性是流域面源污染的关键驱动机制。BMPs模拟结果显示,单一措施中化肥削减20%对氮、磷削减率分别为10.1%和26.5%,效果最佳,其次为植草水道、植被过滤带和分区耕作管理;组合措施可进一步提高削减效果,其中四组合措施削减率最高(氮16.8%、磷41.6%),但成本也最大。成本效益分析表明,随着措施组合增加,成本效益呈递减趋势,其中植被过滤带在经济性上最优,而化肥削减20%与植被过滤带组合在削减效率与成本效益之间实现最佳平衡。研究结果为区域农业面源污染防治及流域精细化管理提供了科学依据。

     

    Abstract: Identification of Priority Management Areas (PMAs) and evaluation of the effectiveness of Best Management Practices (BMPs) provide an important basis for precise control of agricultural nonpoint source pollution and scientific decision-making. Taking the Zheshui River Basin of Dongjiang Lake as the study area, this study applied the SWAT model combined with scenario simulations. PMAs were identified by comprehensively considering nitrogen and phosphorus flux, population density, and water quality requirement factors, and the pollution reduction efficiency and cost-effectiveness of BMPs were evaluated. The results show that the nitrogen and phosphorus loss loads ranged from 8~15 kg/hm2 and 0.15~0.70 kg/hm2. PMAs accounted for only 9% of the total basin area but contributed approximately 30.7% of the nitrogen flux and 43.7% of the phosphorus flux. Among the PMAs, 94% were cropland, indicating that agricultural activities coupled with high hydrological connectivity constitute the key driving mechanism of nonpoint source pollution in the basin. Simulation results of BMPs indicate that among single measures, a 20% fertilizer reduction achieved the best performance, with nitrogen and phosphorus reduction rates of 10.1% and 26.5%, respectively, followed by grassed waterways, vegetative filter strips, and zonal tillage management. Combined measures further improved reduction effects, and the four-measure combination achieved the highest reduction rates of 16.8% for nitrogen and 41.6% for phosphorus, although it also incurred the highest cost. Cost-effectiveness analysis shows that cost-effectiveness declines as the number of combined measures increases. Vegetative filter strips exhibit the best economic performance among single measures, while the combination of 20% fertilizer reduction and vegetative filter strips achieves the optimal balance between reduction efficiency and cost-effectiveness. The results provide scientific support for regional agricultural nonpoint source pollution control and refined watershed management.

     

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