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农业社会化服务机制创新如何促进农业绿色发展来自准自然实验的证据

How does the innovation of socialized service mechanism promote agricultural green development: evidence from a quasi-natural experiment

  • 摘要: 农业社会化服务机制创新是实现农业绿色发展的重要途径。本文基于2008—2022年中国31个省份(除港澳台地区)的面板数据,将农业生产全程社会化服务试点政策视为农业社会化服务机制创新的准自然实验,借助农业绿色全要素生产率衡量农业绿色发展水平。在此基础上,采用双重差分法实证考察了农业社会化服务机制创新对农业绿色发展的影响效果与作用机制。研究发现:1)农业社会化服务机制创新能够显著促进农业绿色发展。2)农业社会化服务机制创新通过规模经营效应、要素流动效应和技术进步效应促进了农业绿色发展。3)异质性分析结果显示,在中部、西部以及胡焕庸线西北区域,农业社会化服务机制创新对农业绿色发展的推动作用更加显著。基于以上发现,本文提出了加强政策推广与落实、优化政策作用路径和实施差异化政策等对策建议。

     

    Abstract: Innovation in socialized service mechanism represents a crucial pathway to achieving agricultural green development. Based on panel data from 31 Chinese provinces (excluding Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan) from 2008 to 2022, this study treats the pilot policy of full-process agricultural production socialized services as a quasi-natural experiment to capture innovation in socialized service mechanisms, and uses agricultural green total factor productivity to measure the level of agricultural green development. The study employs a difference-in-differences (DID) approach to empirically examine the impact and mechanisms of socialized service mechanisms innovation on agricultural green development. The findings reveal that 1) innovation in socialized service mechanisms significantly promotes agricultural green development; 2) such innovation facilitates agricultural green development through scale operation effects, factor flow effects, and technological progress effects; and 3) heterogeneity analysis shows that in the central, western regions and the northwest of the Hu Huanyong Line, the promoting effect of the innovation of socialized service mechanisms on agricultural green development is more significant. Based on these findings, the paper puts forward countermeasures and suggestions, including strengthening policy promotion and implementation, optimizing policy pathways, and implementing differentiated policies.

     

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