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数字经济赋能农业生产性服务效率提升的理论机制与实证检验

Theoretical mechanism and empirical test of digital economy empowering the improvement of agricultural productive service efficiency

  • 摘要: 推动数字经济与农业生产性服务深度融合,是提升农业服务供给效率、加快现代农业建设的重要途径。本文基于2012—2022年中国31个省级面板数据,测算数字经济发展水平与农业生产性服务效率,并采用固定效应模型、中介效应模型和门槛效应模型,深入分析数字经济对农业生产性服务效率的影响。研究表明:1)数字经济能显著提升农业生产性服务效率,且促进作用在东中部地区及粮食主产区和粮食主销区更为显著;其中,数字基础设施建设与产业数字化转型是关键驱动因素;2)农村人力资本积累与产业结构优化是数字经济促进农业生产性服务效率提升的重要中介路径;3)数字经济对农业生产性服务效率的影响具有非线性特征,受到农业生产性服务效率、非农就业水平和科技投入水平的门槛效应约束。基于此,建议持续推动数字经济发展,强化农村人力资本积累,优化产业结构升级,加大科技投入力度,并统筹区域经济发展,进一步释放数字经济对农业生产性服务的赋能潜力。

     

    Abstract: The deep integration of the digital economy with agricultural productive services is a key strategy to enhance the efficiency of agricultural service provision and to accelerate the development of modern agriculture. Based on a panel data of 31 Chinese provinces from 2012 to 2022, this paper assesses the development level of the digital economy and the efficiency of agricultural productive services by the fixed effects, mediation effect, and threshold effect models and thoroughly analyzes the mechanism through which the digital economy influences agricultural service efficiency. Results show that: 1) the digital economy significantly boosts the efficiency of agricultural productive services, with a more pronounced effect in the eastern and central regions, as well as in major grain production and sales areas. Two significant driving factors are the development of digital infrastructure and the digital transformation of industries; 2) the accumulation of rural human capital and the optimization of industrial structures serve as crucial intermediary pathways through which the digital economy enhances agricultural service efficiency; 3) the effect of the digital economy on agricultural service efficiency is nonlinear, constrained by threshold effects related to service efficiency, non-agricultural employment levels, and technological investment. Based on these results, this paper suggests: continuing to promote the development of the digital economy, strengthening the accumulation of rural human capital, optimizing industrial structure upgrading, increasing technological investment, and coordinating regional economic development to further unlock the empowering potential of the digital economy in enhancing agricultural productive services.

     

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