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增强农业韧性的机制研究:农地确权-农业保险-人力资本的框架

Research on mechanisms to enhance agricultural resilience: a framework of land ownership, agricultural insurance, and human capital

  • 摘要: 增强农业韧性是落实党的二十届三中全会关于“完善强农惠农富农支持制度”的重要举措。本研究基于江苏省农户跟踪调研数据,构建了“农业保险-农地确权-人力资本-农业韧性”的理论框架,运用熵值法测度农业风险及农业韧性水平,并探究农业保险、农地确权和人力资本对农业韧性的影响及作用机制。研究结果表明:1)农业风险呈现空间不均衡态势,苏南地区的农业风险最高,而且整体农业韧性偏低,存在明显的空间相关性;2)农业保险、农地确权和人力资本显著增强了农业韧性,这一结论在稳健性检验中依然成立;3)异质性分析显示,人力资本在农业保险对农业韧性的正向影响中发挥显著的调节作用,尤其在农地确权情况下,人力资本对农业保险增强农业韧性的作用更为明显。基于研究结果,本研究提出一系列建议,包括完善农业保险制度、推进自然资源确权政策与提供农业技术培训与支持,以增强农业韧性,推动农业强国建设。

     

    Abstract: Enhancing agricultural resilience is a key measure for implementing the resolutions of the Third Plenary Session of the 20th CPC Central Committee, which emphasizes "improving the support system for strengthening agriculture, benefiting farmers, and enriching rural communities". Based on tracking survey data from farmers in Jiangsu Province, this study constructs a theoretical framework that integrates "agricultural insurance - agricultural land rights confirmation - human capital - agricultural resilience". The entropy method is applied to measure agricultural risk and resilience levels, and the study explores the impacts of agricultural insurance, land rights confirmation, and human capital on agricultural resilience, along with their mechanisms. The results reveal: 1) Agricultural risk exhibits spatial imbalances, with the highest risks observed in southern Jiangsu, where overall agricultural resilience is relatively low and spatial correlations are evident; 2) Agricultural insurance, land rights confirmation, and human capital significantly enhance agricultural resilience, a finding that remains robust across various tests; 3) Heterogeneity analysis indicates that human capital plays a significant moderating role in strengthening the positive effect of agricultural insurance on resilience, particularly in areas where land rights have been confirmed. Based on these findings, the study offers several recommendations, including improving the agricultural insurance system, advancing land rights confirmation policies, and providing agricultural technology training and support to enhance resilience and contribute to building a strong agricultural sector.

     

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