Abstract:
The imbalance among resource, industry, environment, market, and capacity development in the process of raw milk production is becoming increasingly serious, and the sustainable development of China's dairy industry is severely constrained. To promote the coordinated development of raw milk production, this paper adopts the coupling coordination model, the spatial correlation test and the spatial Durbin model to measure the coupling coordination level of China's raw milk production system from 2010 to 2019 and explores its spatial and temporal evolution characteristics and the driving factors. Results show that: 1) The coupling and coordination level of China's raw milk production system has been steadily increasing year by year, and at the geospatial level, it showed the trend of "high in the east and low in the west, high in the north and low in the south"; 2) The coupling and coordination level of China's raw milk production system had a significant positive spatial autocorrelation, showing the characteristics of high-high agglomeration and low-low agglomeration; 3) At the level of direct effects, the level of openness to the world, the level of rural human capital, the level of marketization, the level of scientific and technological innovation, and the level of industrial agglomeration have significantly contributed to the coupled and coordinated development of regional raw milk production system, while financial support to agriculture did not affect the coupled and coordinated level of raw milk production system. Based on the above results, to promote a high level of coupling and coordination of raw milk production system and achieve sustainable development of China's dairy industry, this paper provides some policy recommendations to improve the level of coupling and coordination of raw milk production system in China.