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近20年江西省水稻生产优势与时空变化分析

Comparative advantage and its spatiotemporal changes of rice production in Jiangxi Province in past 20 years

  • 摘要: 本文运用近20 a来江西省粮食种植面积、粮食产量、水稻种植面积和水稻产量等多源数据,结合GIS技术,探讨了1990-2011年江西省水稻的比较优势和江西省水稻种植面积与产量的时空变化特征。研究结果表明:1)江西省水稻生产具有综合比较优势和明显的规模比较优势,缺乏效率比较优势,三个比较优势指数总体上呈缓慢上升趋势;2)江西省市域水稻平均规模比较优势、效率比较优势和综合比较优势的总体差距均在缩小,其中水稻规模比较优势表现为“北进东移”态势,效率比较优势指数偏低;3)江西省水稻种植面积呈“W”型变化,总体趋势为增加,从空间变化来看,种植面积缩减主要在景德镇和九江,面积减少占变化量的18.18%,上饶、吉安和抚州是影响江西省水稻面积增加的重要区域;4)水稻单产呈“之”字型变化,波动十分明显,总产时增时减,两者总体趋势均为增加,且水稻总产与种植面积具有“同增同减”的规律,南昌、上饶和吉安是影响全省水稻稳产增产的重要区域。

     

    Abstract: Based on the data of grain planting area, grain production, rice planting area and rice production of Jiangxi Province during 1990-2011 and with the help of GIS technology, this paper quantitatively analyzed the provincial comparative advantages of rice production, and then discussed the spatial and temporal change characteristics of rice production at the city level in Jiangxi Province. Results show that: 1) Both the aggregated and scale comparative advantage indices were high, showing a significant advantage of rice production in Jiangxi Province; However, the corresponding efficiency comparative advantage index were relatively low; and the three indices generally showed a slowly increasing trend. 2) The comprehensive gaps among the average-scale comparative advantage, efficiency comparative advantage and aggregated comparative advantage were narrowed. Among them, the scale comparative advantage displayed upward and eastward changing trend with a low efficiency comparative advantage. 3) Rice planting area in Jiangxi fluctuated in a W-shape manner with an overall increasing trend during 1990-2011. Spatially, the decline of rice planting area was found in two cities, Jingdezhen and Jiujiang with a reduction ratio of 18.18%; While other cities such as Shangrao, Ji’an and Fuzhou increased their rice areas significantly. 4) Both the per-unit area yield of rice and total rice production varied dramatically in a zigzag manner with a general increasing trend. Spatially, the cities such as Nanchang, Shangrao and Ji’an served as the key regions for enhancing rice production in this province.

     

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