粮食“十连增”背后的思考:现代农业发展中面临的挑战与路径选择
The challenges and path selection in the development of modern agriculture in the background of 10 years of continuous growth of grain production in China
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摘要: 2013年我国农业再获丰收,粮食生产实现“十连增”,农民收入实现“十连快”。然而,这辉煌成绩的背后潜藏着诸多挑战不容小觑:农业比较效益持续下降,农村青壮年劳动力种粮意愿低下;新生代农民工返乡务农意愿普遍较低,农村劳动力向城市转移呈现不可逆性;农业粗放经营、土地撂荒、环境污染问题日益凸显,资源约束持续加大;农产品进口连年增长,贸易逆差长期保持高位,农产品供给总量平衡的压力愈来愈大。据此建议:一是不断强化现代农业发展的科技支撑,依靠科技创新激活农业内生增长力;二是坚持以人为本,培育新型职业农民,加快构建新型农业经营体系,充分激发农业生产潜能;三是大力发展“两型”农业,促进农业步入可持续发展轨道;四是探索与创新现代农业生产模式,不断丰富现代农业内涵。Abstract: The year 2013 has marked the 10th consecutive annual growth of China’s grain production and farmers’ income, but China’s grain production still faces many challenges, including agricultural comparative benefits continue to drop; a great number of young and middle-aged rural labors are not willing to farm; new rural migrants have low willingness to return home for farming, rural-urban migration of rural labors seems irreversible; extensive agricultural management and abandoned land exist; environmental pollution are becoming prominent; and resource constraints continue to increase. Meanwhile, agricultural import increases every year, agricultural trade deficit remains high, and pressure of agricultural supply balance becomes intensive. This paper suggests: 1) to continuously strengthen the scientific and technological support for the development of modern agriculture to activate endogenous agricultural growth; 2) to keep people-oriented policies by training more new professional farmers, speeding up the construction of new agricultural management system, and fully inspiring the potential of agricultural production; 3) to devote major efforts to promote sustainable development of agriculture; and 4) to encourage innovations in the development of modern agriculture.
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