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农民工的就业稳定性及其影响因素研究——基于南京市的调查

Study on the employment stability and its influencing factors of migrant workers: A case study of Nanjing City

  • 摘要: 亿多名农民工的稳定就业是我国城镇化持续稳定发展的基础。基于南京市的调查数据,运用多元线性回归模型和多项有序Logistic模型,对农民工的就业稳定性进行实证分析,探讨农民工的就业稳定性的影响因素。结果表明,男性、20-40岁、初中以上文化程度农民工的就业稳定性较低,建筑装潢业、批发贸易零售业和制造业农民工的就业稳定性高于其他行业,私营和个体性质单位就业的农民工就业稳定性则显著低于其他所有制单位,参加单位社会保险的农民工就业稳定性较高。就业稳定性在年龄、受教育程度、职业技能水平三个方面存在着显著性的类别差异,并且年龄、受教育程度两个因素对就业稳定性类别差异的影响较强,而职业技能水平因素仅产生较弱的影响。因此,建议从改善人力资本特征和就业特征着手适当提高农民工的就业稳定性。

     

    Abstract: The stable employment of more than 200 million migrant workers is the basis for sustainable and stable development of China's urbanization. Based on the survey data collected from Nanjing city, this paper conducts an empirical analysis on the employment stability of migrant workers and explores its influencing factors of the employment stability by using the multivariate linear regression model and ordinal Logistic model. Results show that for male migrants, aged from 20 to 40 years old, with junior high school education or above, have low employment stability. Migrant workers in building decoration industry, wholesale trade, retail and manufacturing industries have higher employment stability than other ownership units. For those who are in private enterprises have significantly lower employment stability. While migrant workers who have participated in social insurance offered by employers possess higher employment stability. In addition, the employment stability of category differences of migrant workers is influenced by three factors: age, education and occupational skill level. Specifically, age and education have a stronger impact than occupational skill level on employment stability. Therefore it’s suggested to raise employment stability of migrant workers by improving human capital quality and job selecting skills.

     

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