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油菜籽目标价格制度的机制设计、效应估判及细节观察

The mechanism design, effect assessment and detail observations of the rapeseed target price system

  • 摘要: 制度改革的推进需要机遇窗口,油菜产业发展外部环境的改变和油菜籽临储收购政策弊端的逐显,为油菜籽目标价格制度的推进提供机遇可能,而该制度的实施将通过油菜产业链的风险传导对产业安全产生影响。但是,在国际国内油菜籽市场脱钩及衔接情况下的长期和短期内,该制度对油菜产业影响效应和机理不同,其根本原因在于目标价格水平不同。此外,油脂加工企业市场竞争,国内财政补贴流失海外,价格补贴法律地位不明确,WTO协议约束,差价补贴核算分歧等细节问题,均会影响目标价格制度的实施。因此,在合理设计油菜籽目标价格的基础上,精准分析各环节的细节问题,才能有效把握油菜籽目标价格制度的改革取向。

     

    Abstract: The changes of rapeseed industry’s external development environment and the disadvantages of rapeseed temporary storage purchase policy offer the opportunity for the implementation of rapeseed target price system, which will have an impact on rapeseed industrial security through the risk transmission of rapeseed industry chain. However, as the result of the different target price levels, the system has different impacts on rapeseed industry under different circumstances of decoupling or cohesion between international and domestic rapeseed markets and between long-run and short-run. In addition, some detail problems, including the market competition among oil processing enterprises, the flowing of domestic financial subsidies to overseas, the uncertainty of price subsidies’ legal status, the constraints of WTO agreements, the divergence on differential subsidies accounting and others, will all affect the implementation of target price system. Therefore, only by accurately analyzing the problems in all steps on the basis of scientific and reasonable design of rapeseed target price can we make sure that the rapeseed target price system reform is on the right direction.

     

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