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规模经营对我国粮食生产韧性的影响基于农地与服务双规模经营协同视角

The impacts of scale management on the resilience of China’s grain productionFrom a perspective of synergy between farmland-scale management and service-scale management

  • 摘要: 突破既有研究将农地规模经营与服务规模经营分立考察的局限,从二者协同演化视角系统分析规模化经营对粮食生产韧性的影响。本文利用熵值法测度2008—2023年中国省域粮食生产韧性水平,并从理论与实证层面揭示规模经营对粮食生产韧性的影响机制与效果。研究结果表明:1)农地与服务规模经营均能显著提升粮食生产韧性,且存在显著协同效应,该协同效应在非粮食主产区与人均播种面积大的地区更强;2)农地规模经营通过横向专业化分工扩大种植规模提升韧性,服务规模经营通过纵向专业化分工破解农户要素约束提升韧性,二者的协同效应通过推动农村劳动力转移、促进技术进步提升韧性。农地与服务规模经营形成“一体两翼、互补增效”的协同机制,共同提升粮食生产韧性。未来应打通横向与纵向分工联动路径,加大协同效应强的地区制度供给,不断完善规模经营的支撑体系与监管机制。

     

    Abstract: This study moves beyond prior research that evaluates farmland-scale management and service-scale management independently by examining their combined effects on grain-production resilience from a coordinated-development perspective. Using the entropy-weight method, we measure provincial-level grain-production resilience from 2008 to 2023 and explore how scale management shapes grain-production resilience from both theoretical and empirical perspectives. The results show that both farmland-scale management and service-scale management significantly enhance grain production resilience and generate clear synergies. These synergies are stronger in non-major grain-producing regions and in regions with larger per capita sown areas. Farmland-scale management enhances resilience by expanding planting scale through horizontal specialization, whereas service-scale management alleviates farmers’ production factor constraints through vertical specialization. Their joint synergistic effect further improves grain production resilience by facilitating rural labor transfer and promoting technological progress. The two modes form a mutually complementary system that jointly enhances grain-production resilience. Future efforts should strengthen the linkage between horizontal and vertical specialization, enhance institutional support in regions with stronger synergies, and continuously improve the supporting system and regulatory framework for scale management.

     

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