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东北三省数字经济赋能城乡融合发展的内在机制与实证检验

How the digital economy empowers integrated urban-rural development in Northeast China: Mechanisms and empirical evidence

  • 摘要: 城乡融合是城乡关系演进的高级阶段,是破解城乡发展不平衡不充分矛盾的关键路径。本文基于东北三省34个地级市(不含延边朝鲜族自治州和大兴安岭地区)2008—2023年的面板数据,根据DPSIR模型和数字经济四大维度重新构建城乡融合发展与数字经济评价体系,利用多元计量模型等方法实证检验二者之间的内在关联与作用机制,结果表明:1)从时间序列看,东北三省数字经济发展水平与城乡融合发展水平均呈现稳步提升趋势,且二者存在显著的正向关联;从空间分布看,二者随时间推移表现出明显的空间集聚特征,整体呈现“核心—外围”分布格局;2)数字经济对城乡融合发展具有显著的正向驱动作用,资本配置、就业质量和产业结构升级是其重要间接传导路径,其中就业质量的中介效应最为稳健;3)数字经济具有明显的正向空间溢出效应,本地数字经济发展能够带动周边地区城乡融合协同提升,但就业质量受到人才虹吸的负向空间制约,本地效应偏弱。基于此提出政策性建议,为东北三省依托数字经济推动城乡协调发展提供参考。

     

    Abstract: Urban-rural integration represents an advanced stage in the evolution of urban-rural relationships and offers a fundamental means of addressing imbalanced and inadequate urban-rural development. Based on the DPSIR model and four core dimensions of the digital economy, this study constructs an refined evaluation index systems for digital economy development and urban-rural integration. Using panel data from 34 prefecture-level cities in Northeast China from 2008 to 2023, excluding Yanbian Korean Autonomous Prefecture and Daxing’anling Prefecture, this paper employs multiple econometric models to systematically examine the relationship between digital economy development and urban-rural integration and underlying mechanisms. Results show that, temporally, both digital economy development and urban-rural integration in Northeast China exhibit a sustained upward trend and are significantly positively correlated. Spatially, the two indicators demonstrate clear spatial agglomeration and follow a classic core-periphery pattern. The digital economy has a significant positive effect on urban-rural integration. Optimizing capital allocation, improving employment quality, and upgrading the industrial structure serve as key transmission channels, among which employment quality exhibits the strongest and most robust mediating effect. Furthermore, digital economy development generates significant positive spatial spillovers, with local digital advancement promoting urban-rural integration in surrounding regions. Nevertheless, the talent siphoning effect associated with more favorable employment conditions creates negative spatial constraints and weakens local positive effects. Based on these findings, this study proposes targeted policy recommendations to provide practical guidance for promoting high-quality, digitally driven, and coordinated urban-rural development throughout Northeast China.

     

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