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数字基础设施建设对农业保险高质量发展的影响研究

The impact of digital infrastructure development on the high-quality development of agricultural insurance

  • 摘要: 农业保险高质量发展是提升农业风险保障能力、服务乡村全面振兴的重要支撑。数字基础设施建设为优化农业保险服务模式、提升风险管理效率提供了新的技术路径。本文以“宽带中国”战略作为准自然实验,基于2008—2021年中国280个地级市面板数据,运用多期双重差分模型考察数字基础设施对农业保险高质量发展的影响及作用机制。研究发现:1)数字基础设施建设显著促进农业保险高质量发展,该结论在经过一系列稳健性检验和内生性处理后依然成立;2)机制分析表明,数字基础设施能够通过促进农业科技创新,进一步提升农业保险高质量发展水平;3)地方财政压力对数字基础设施促进农业保险高质量发展的作用具有显著负向调节效应,较高的财政压力会削弱数字赋能农业保险的效果;4)异质性分析发现,数字基础设施的促进作用在粮食主销区、高自然风险地区以及东部地区更为明显。基于上述结论,本文从加强数字基础设施建设、推动农业科技创新、优化财政资源配置以及实施差异化推进策略等方面提出政策建议。

     

    Abstract: High-quality development of agricultural insurance is a crucial pillar for enhancing agricultural risk protection capabilities and supporting the comprehensive revitalization of rural areas. The development of digital infrastructure provides new technological pathways for optimizing agricultural insurance service models and improving risk management efficiency. This paper treats the Broadband China strategy as a quasi-natural experiment. Using panel data from 280 prefecture-level cities in China from 2008 to 2021, it employs a multi-period difference-in-differences model to examine the impact of digital infrastructure on the high-quality development of agricultural insurance and its underlying mechanisms. The study finds that: 1) Digital infrastructure development significantly promotes the high-quality development of agricultural insurance, a conclusion that holds even after a series of robustness tests and endogeneity treatments; 2) Mechanism analysis indicates that digital infrastructure can further enhance the high-quality development of agricultural insurance by promoting agricultural technological innovation; 3) Local fiscal pressures exert a significant negative moderating effect on the role of digital infrastructure in promoting the high-quality development of agricultural insurance; higher fiscal pressures weaken the effect of digital empowerment on agricultural insurance; 4) Heterogeneity analysis reveals that the promotional effect of digital infrastructure is more pronounced in major grain-consuming regions, areas with high natural risks, and the eastern regions. Based on these findings, this paper offers policy recommendations in areas such as strengthening digital infrastructure development, promoting agricultural technological innovation, optimizing the allocation of fiscal resources, and implementing differentiated advancement strategies.

     

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