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林业政策协同对农村居民收入的影响及作用机制

The impact and mechanism of forestry policy synergy on rural residents’ income

  • 摘要: 统筹森林资源保护与农村居民收入增长,是推进生态安全建设和共同富裕的重要内容。探究林业政策协同对农村居民收入的影响及其作用机制,对于深化林业改革、拓展生态产品价值实现路径和促进林区民生改善具有重要意义。本文基于2005—2023年全国27个省份的面板数据,将国有林区改革与集体林权改革的叠加实施视为准自然实验,采用双重差分模型评估林业政策协同对农村居民收入的影响及其作用机制。研究发现:1)国有林区改革与集体林权改革的政策协同能够显著促进农村居民收入增长,且相较于单一政策,双政策协同的增收效应更为明显,该结论在平行趋势检验、安慰剂检验、PSM-DID检验、考虑其他相关政策的干扰、滞后效应检验和调整样本等稳健性检验后依然成立。2)机制分析表明,林业政策协同主要通过优化林业产业结构和改善林业劳动力配置促进农村居民收入增长,林业财政投入在政策协同影响农村居民收入的过程中发挥正向调节作用。3)异质性分析表明,林业政策协同的增收效应在森林资源富集区、经济发达区和林业产业优势区更为显著。据此,应进一步优化国有林区改革与集体林权改革的政策协同机制,强化林业产业扶持、劳动力优化配置和财政投入保障,并充分考虑不同地区森林资源禀赋、经济发展水平和林业产业基础差异,因地制宜拓展森林生态产品价值实现路径,推动森林资源高水平保护与林区经济高质量发展协同实现。

     

    Abstract: Coordinating forest resource protection with the income growth of rural residents is an important component of promoting ecological security and common prosperity. Exploring the impact of forestry policy synergy on rural residents’ income and its underlying mechanisms is of great significance for deepening forestry reform, expanding pathways for realizing the value of ecological products, and improving livelihoods in forest regions. Based on panel data from 27 provinces in China from 2005 to 2023, this study regards the overlapping implementation of the state-owned forest region reform and the collective forest tenure reform as a quasi-natural experiment, and employs a difference-in-differences (DID) model to evaluate the impact of forestry policy synergy on rural residents’ income and its mechanisms. The results show that: 1) the policy synergy between the state-owned forest region reform and the collective forest tenure reform significantly promotes the income growth of rural residents, and compared with a single policy, the synergistic effect of the dual policies is more pronounced. This conclusion remains robust after a series of tests, including the parallel trend test, placebo test, PSM-DID test, controlling for the interference of other related policies, lagged effect test, and sample adjustment tests; 2) mechanism analysis indicates that forestry policy synergy mainly promotes rural residents’ income growth by optimizing the forestry industrial structure and improving forestry labor allocation, while forestry fiscal investment plays a positive moderating role in the relationship between policy synergy and rural residents’ income; 3) heterogeneity analysis shows that the income-increasing effect of forestry policy synergy is more significant in regions with abundant forest resources, economically developed regions, and regions with advantages in the forestry industry. Accordingly, it is necessary to further optimize the policy synergy mechanism between the state-owned forest region reform and the collective forest tenure reform, strengthen support for the forestry industry, improve labor allocation, and enhance fiscal investment guarantees. In addition, regional differences in forest resource endowments, economic development levels, and forestry industrial foundations should be fully considered to expand pathways for realizing the value of forestry ecological products according to local conditions, thereby promoting the coordinated achievement of high-level forest resource protection and high-quality economic development in forest regions.

     

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