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绿色生产技术采纳对新疆棉农家庭收入的影响研究

Impact of green production technology adoption on cotton farmers’ household income in Xinjiang

  • 摘要: 在推进农业绿色转型与实现“双碳”目标的背景下,绿色生产技术在保障棉花质量安全和提升棉农收入方面发挥着关键作用。本文基于新疆主要棉花产区750户棉农的微观调查数据,采用倾向得分匹配法(PSM)实证分析绿色生产技术采纳对棉农家庭收入的影响,并进一步探讨其异质性与作用机制。研究结果表明:1)采纳绿色生产技术显著提高了棉农家庭收入,采纳户的平均收入较未采纳户高出0.276,增幅达27.6%,即平均增加约2 760元家庭收入;2)异质性分析显示,该增收效应在中等规模棉农、中年组棉农以及北疆地区尤为显著;3)机制检验结果表明,绿色生产技术通过提升棉农在投入成本感知、他人意愿感知、获取途径感知及技术培训感知四个维度的价值认知,从而促进家庭收入增长。基于上述结论,提出政策建议:强化政府引导与扶持绿色生产技术、建立精细化绿色生产技术收益帮扶机制,以及构建精准多元化的绿色技术推广体系。

     

    Abstract: In the context of promoting agricultural green transformation and achieving the “dual carbon” goals, green production technology plays a vital role in ensuring cotton quality and safety as well as increasing farmers’ incomes. Based on micro-level survey data from 750 cotton farmers in Xinjiang’s main cotton-producing areas, this study employs Propensity Score Matching (PSM) to empirically examine the impact of adopting green production technology on household income, and further investigates its heterogeneity and underlying mechanisms. The results show that: 1) the adoption of green production technology significantly increases household income, with adopting households earning on average 0.276 more than non-adopting households, representing a 27.6% increase, or an average growth of about 2,760 yuan; 2) heterogeneity analysis indicates that this income-enhancing effect is more evident among medium-scale farmers, middle-aged farmers, and those in northern Xinjiang; 3) mechanism testing reveals that green production technology contributes to income growth by improving farmers’ value perceptions in four dimensions, namely perceived input costs, perceived willingness of others, perceived access to resources, and perceived technical training. Based on these findings, this study proposes policy implications including strengthening government guidance and support for green production technology, establishing refined mechanisms to help farmers realize its benefits, and building a precise and diversified system for green technology promotion.

     

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