高级检索

完全成本保险参保对农户节水技术采纳的影响研究来自黄淮海粮食主产区的实证

The impacts of full cost insurance on farmers’ adoption of water-saving technologies: an empirical evidence from main grain producing areas of the Huang-Huai-Hai Region

  • 摘要: 粮食主产区节水技术关系到粮食生产的可持续发展,完全成本保险对农户节水技术采纳如何产生影响,得到各界高度关注。本文运用对2023年河北、河南和山东等三大粮食主产区的调研数据,构建Oprobit模型和Mvprobit模型,分析粮食种植户完全成本保险购买对节水技术采纳深度和广度的影响,并探究其作用机制。利用门槛回归模型针对旱灾风险进行异质性分析。结果表明:1)购买完全成本保险能够显著提高农户组合采用节水技术的可能性,且对其采用2项节水技术的概率增幅最大。此外,完全成本保险能够显著促进农户深松整地、地下管道输水和抗旱品种等节水技术的采用;2)完全成本保险参保通过提高农户的风险认知和经营意识,进而促进其节水技术采纳行为;3)旱灾风险下,完全成本保险对农户节水技术采用决策的影响存在异质性,特别是在旱灾高风险地区,完全成本保险对农户节水技术采纳的促进作用更为显著。据此,提出要完善农业保险体系、加强农户培训以及干旱灾害监测预警,因地制宜地开展“完全成本保险+节水技术”的配套推广等若干建议。

     

    Abstract: The adoption of water-saving technologies in China’s primary grain-producing regions is crucial for ensuring sustainable agricultural development, and how full cost insurance affects the adoption of water-saving technologies has received great attention from various sectors. Based on a data of three major grain-producing provinces of Hebei, Henan and Shandong in 2023, this study employs the Oprobit and Mvprobit models to analyze how full cost insurance influences both the intensity and diversity of water-saving technology adoption and investigates the underlying mechanisms. Furthermore, this paper also conducts a heterogeneity analysis focusing on drought risk by a threshold regression model. Results show that: 1) Full cost insurance significantly enhances the probability of farmers’ adopting multiple water-saving technologies, with the strongest effect observed for the adoption of two technologies. Additionally, it promotes the use of three key practices: deep tillage, underground pipeline irrigation, and drought-resistant varieties; 2) The purchase of full cost insurance enhances farmers’ risk perception and operational awareness, thereby facilitating their adoption of water-saving technologies; and 3) The influence of full cost insurance on water-saving technology adoption decisions manifests heterogeneous effects under varying drought risks, with particularly pronounced promotion effects observed among farmers in high drought-risk areas. Based on the above findings, this paper proposes targeted policy recommendations, including optimizing the agricultural insurance system, enhancing farmer training programs, improving drought monitoring systems, and implementing region-specific promotion strategies for “full cost insurance + water-saving technology” packages.

     

/

返回文章
返回